18 May 2006
The European Commission has long argued that agricultural prices are being driven down mainly by productivity gains leading to greater volumes. A new publication by the Commonwealth Secretariat shows, however, that while productivity level is increasing in some countries, it is not in others.
Research for the publication 'Declining Agricultural Commodity Prices' was carried out by three Australian university academics, Euan Fleming, Associate Professor in the School of Economics at the University of New England, New South Wales, and Pauline Fleming, also lecturer at the School of Economics; and D S Prasada Rao, Professor in the School of Economics and the Director of the Centre for Efficiency and Productivity Analysis at the University of Queensland.
The authors point out that the diversification into higher value-adding agricultural industries will be difficult without dramatic improvements to rural infrastructure and institutional support. Since these improvements are unlikely to be achieved, they conclude that the major objective for agricultural producers in developing countries must remain to boost productivity in existing commodity industries.
Research for this publication involved an analysis of trends in productivity, export, and producer and export prices in developing countries for a selected group of tropical commodities from 1970 to 2002. The commodities were coffee, cocoa, copra, palm oil, lauric oils (coconut oil and palm kernel oil), cotton, sugar and rice. These commodities have traditionally formed the core of agricultural exports of most developing countries since the 1960s, particularly those Commonwealth countries located in tropical regions.
The authors say these analyses have made it possible to assess some strategic options for governments of developing countries who were attempting to improve living standards in rural areas through agricultural growth.
Economic Paper 74; ISBN: 0-85092-834-6; 100 pages; price: £20
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CNIS - Commonwealth News and Information Service Issue 285, 17 May 2006